Mexico’s foreign and environment ministries presented their emission´s goals for 2030, sent to UN “Global War on Climate Change” headquarters.
The Mexicans claimed their goals represent a 25 % reduction “versus the business as usual case”. I found the slides (in Spanish) at a Mexican government website, so I can confirm they pulled a fast one. They assumed that “under business as usual” their emissions would increase from 781 (2013) to 1110 (2030) million tons of CO2 equivalent. Then they prepared a “goal” for 2030: 829 million tons.
Draw a cartoon in your mind, 781, a line up to 1110, which sits on top of the 829.
Mexican Mariachis singing a song
(photo from Reuters, Andrew Winning)
I went ahead and interpolated the 2015 emissions levels: 817 million tons of CO2 equivalent. Their goal, 829 million tons, wow, that´s 1 %, a teensy bit over the 2015 figure. Not bad for a country full of Catholics and Evangelicals who will have lots of babies and are hoping to grow GDP by a whopping 3.3 % a year.